On 16 October the EU Commission published the results of stress tests carried out by 38 European countries, including the EU countries, which simulated two disruption scenarios. Cooperation among the Member States is key to alleviate the effects of disruptions, the Commission says.
The Commission looked into two main hypothetical disruption scenarios during autumn/winter, in each case for periods of one month and six months:
- a complete halt of Russian gas imports into the EU and the Contracting Parties of the Energy Community;
- a disruption of the Ukraine transit route.
Not surprisingly, the tests showed that a prolonged supply disruption would have a substantial impact on the EU, with Eastern EU countries and Energy Community countries being particularly affected.
The gas stress test documentations consists of
- Communication on the short term resilience of the European gas system (“Stress Tests Communication”) plus Annex
- Report on South-East European Focus Group
- Report on Baltics and Finland Focus Group
- Report on Energy Community Focus Group
- Report on non-EU G7 countries response
- Report on the Implementation of the Security of Gas Supply Regulation
The Commission urged Member States to cooperate and allow the market forces to work as long as possible so that more gas will continue to be delivered to homes and companies. “Government intervention should be carefully prepared on a regional basis and only kick in, if needed”, the Commission warns.
The report includes detailed recommendations, including concrete short-term recommendations for the most vulnerable EU Member States and neighbouring countries.
Sources: European Commission website and press release